Marketing science studio

Know what your marketing actually causes. Then bid on it.

Marscie builds the models behind better media decisions — mix models, lift experiments and lifetime value — and wires them into the bidders, deals and clean rooms where your budget is really spent.

Response curve · Paid video Illustrative
Past the efficient point, each extra dollar buys less. We find that point per channel — then make the bidder respect it.
  • Marketing mix modeling
  • Geo lift
  • Lifetime value
  • Custom bidding
  • Deal curation
  • Clean rooms
  • AI products

Why we exist

Most companies have a measurement team that produces decks and a media team that pulls levers — and nothing connecting the two. The model says one thing; the bidder optimizes for another.

Marscie closes that gap. One team that measures what works, and builds the machinery that acts on it.

Services

Three practices, one feedback loop.

Hire us for a single engagement or the whole loop. Either way, the models, code and documentation are yours when we leave.

01

Measure

Find out what is truly incremental, and what each customer is worth.

Marketing Mix Modeling

Bayesian mix models that estimate the contribution of every channel — online, offline, price, promo and seasonality — with honest uncertainty instead of false precision.

  • Channel ROI and saturation curves
  • Budget scenarios and reallocation plans
  • Calibrated against lift experiments

Geo Lift Analysis

Controlled regional experiments that show what a channel causes — no cookies, no user-level tracking, no trusting a platform's own scorecard.

  • Market selection and power analysis
  • Synthetic control design and readout
  • Results fed back as MMM priors

Customer Lifetime Value Models

Predictive models that score what a customer will be worth early in their life, so acquisition can be judged on value rather than on first-order cost.

  • Probabilistic and ML-based pLTV
  • Cohort retention and payback curves
  • Scores served to ad platforms and CRM
02

Activate

Put the measurement where the money moves: in the auction.

Custom Bidding

Bidding algorithms for your DSP that optimize toward your business outcome — margin, predicted lifetime value, incremental reach — instead of a generic click or view.

  • Custom scoring scripts and value signals
  • Impression-level value models
  • Tested against the platform default

Deal Curation in SSPs

Curated supply packages built on the sell side, combining inventory quality, attention and audience signals into deals your traders can simply switch on.

  • Supply path and quality analysis
  • Curated PMPs and deal ID packaging
  • Ongoing pruning based on outcomes

Clean Rooms

Privacy-safe collaboration between your first-party data and your partners' — designed, implemented and turned into analyses people actually run.

  • Platform selection and setup
  • Overlap, reach and attribution queries
  • Audience activation workflows
03

Build

Turn the method into a product your teams — or your customers — use daily.

AI Product Development

We help companies design and ship their own AI products: from a first prototype to a production system with evaluation, guardrails and a team that knows how to run it.

  • Use-case discovery and feasibility
  • LLM applications, agents and retrieval systems
  • Evaluation harnesses and quality monitoring
  • Data pipelines and MLOps foundations
  • Hand-over, documentation and team enablement

Approach

How an engagement runs.

Short phases, working outputs at the end of each, and no step that depends on a black box.

  1. 1

    Audit

    We review your data, platforms and current measurement, and agree on the one decision the work has to improve.

  2. 2

    Model

    We build the model or experiment in your environment, with assumptions written down and results you can challenge.

  3. 3

    Activate

    Findings become budget plans, bidding logic, curated deals or product features — whatever changes the outcome.

  4. 4

    Hand over

    Code, documentation and training go to your team. Stay with us for refreshes, or run it yourselves.

Principles

What you can hold us to.

You own everything
Models, code and algorithms live in your accounts and repositories. Nothing is rented back to you.
No black boxes
Every model ships with its assumptions, diagnostics and limits. If we can't explain it, we don't deliver it.
Uncertainty is part of the answer
We report ranges, not single magic numbers, and tell you when the data can't support a conclusion.
Independent of media
We don't sell media or take platform commissions, so our measurement has no stake in the result.
Privacy by design
Aggregate methods, experiments and clean rooms first. Good measurement doesn't need to follow individuals around.

FAQ

Questions we hear first.

Do we need MMM, geo lift, or both?

They answer different questions. A mix model covers every channel over time and guides budget allocation; a geo experiment proves the causal effect of one channel or tactic. The strongest setups use experiments to calibrate the mix model, and we usually recommend starting with whichever unblocks your next budget decision.

How much data do we need to start?

For a mix model, roughly two years of weekly spend and outcome data is a comfortable starting point. Geo experiments need regional sales data and the ability to vary spend by market. If you're short of either, the audit phase will tell you what's feasible before you commit to a build.

Which platforms do you work with?

We are platform-agnostic. Custom bidding work happens in the DSP you already use, curation in the SSPs and curation platforms that fit your supply, and clean room work in whichever environment your data and partners sit in.

Do you replace our agency or in-house team?

No. We work alongside them. Your agency or traders keep running campaigns; we supply the models, algorithms and deals that make those campaigns smarter, and train your team to maintain them.

What does an AI product engagement look like?

It usually starts with a short discovery to pick a use case worth building and confirm the data supports it, followed by a working prototype, then hardening for production with evaluation and monitoring in place. You can stop after any phase.

Contact

Tell us the decision you're trying to make.

A budget split, a bidding strategy, a product idea. We'll reply with how we'd approach it and whether we're the right people for it.

hello@marscie.com